Matchups play a huge part in fantasy managers’ weekly lineup decisions. When choosing between two (or more) similarly talented players, the decision often boils down to: Which one has the best matchup?
Ah, but there’s that word again, one all too familiar in the fantasy football lexicon. What, exactly, constitutes a favorable or unfavorable matchup?
This is where the “Matchups Map” comes in. Each week, I’ll provide a schedule-independent method to determine strength of positional matchups, using the most recent, relevant data. Check back for updated numbers each week, including matchup highlights at each position, both favorable and unfavorable, based upon those statistics. For these purposes, we will use PPR (Point Per Reception) scoring.
For Week 2, the maps include two measures: The first, “Rk,” is my personal ranking of how favorable/unfavorable I consider that positional matchup; the second, “Adj. FPA,” reflects how far above or below a player’s average that defense held opponents at that position. For Weeks 1-3, 2020 full-season data is used for the latter, so take those with a grain — or several grains — of salt. Beginning in Week 4, we’ll use 2021 data (three weeks in the books at that point), and then starting in Week 6, we’ll use the most recent five weeks.
Finally, a caveat: Remember that matchups are only one ingredient in my rankings formula. Not every favorable matchup should be exploited, and not every unfavorable matchup should be avoided. To get the most complete recipe for whom to start and sit, consult my weekly rankings.
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